Digital Serbia — how AI, automation and e-government will reshape the economy and the state by 2035

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A profound digital transformation is underway across the world, reshaping economies, public institutions and the very nature of work. Serbia, long recognised for its strong IT talent and innovative spirit, stands at the threshold of becoming a regional digital leader. But seizing this opportunity requires more than a thriving software sector. It demands a comprehensive redefinition of how the state functions, how businesses operate, and how citizens interact with public services.

By 2035, Serbia could be a country where AI systems optimise public infrastructure, digital platforms support seamless government services, businesses operate on data-driven models, and industries rely on automation to boost productivity. Alternatively, Serbia could fall into a two-speed digital divide: a modern IT sector disconnected from the rest of the economy, surrounded by outdated public systems, low-digitisation industries and inconsistent governance. The next decade will determine which reality emerges.

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The backbone of digital transformation is e-government — a domain where Serbia has made noticeable progress in recent years but still faces deep structural challenges. True e-government is not merely a website, portal or digital form. It is a system where state operations are automated, interoperable, transparent and citizen-centric. It requires the unification of registries, cross-agency data exchange, digital identities, digital signatures, online payments, integrated case management and real-time decision tools. It also requires trust, cyber security and institutional discipline.

Serbia’s e-government progress shows what is possible. Birth certificates, vehicle registrations, certain tax filings and permit applications have been digitalised. Some public records are online. Public-sector digital training initiatives have begun. But the ambition must go further. The state must become a fully connected digital organism where institutions communicate seamlessly, reduce administrative burden, eliminate paper, prevent corruption through transparency, and provide services predictably regardless of political change.

Artificial intelligence will play a central role in this transformation. AI can automate bureaucratic tasks, detect irregularities, optimise healthcare diagnoses, predict infrastructure failures, support judicial efficiency, manage traffic flows, and assist in education through adaptive learning systems. Serbia’s challenge is not technological capability but institutional readiness. Deploying AI requires data governance, ethical frameworks, privacy protections and stable public institutions capable of managing advanced systems responsibly. Countries that overlook these foundations risk creating digital chaos rather than digital progress.

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Digital transformation extends beyond the state. Serbia’s private sector must undergo its own upgrade. Many companies still operate with limited automation, basic accounting systems and minimal data analytics. SMEs often lack digital marketing, online sales, logistics platforms or ERP systems. Without digital adoption, Serbia cannot increase productivity or compete in a modern industrial economy.

Automation is another dimension. Robotics and advanced manufacturing systems are becoming essential in automotive components, electronics, metal processing, plastics and food production — all major Serbian export sectors. Automation is not a threat to jobs; it is a safeguard against labour shortages and an opportunity to shift workers into higher-value roles such as programming, maintenance, quality control and design. Serbia must help companies adopt robotics and smart systems through incentives, training programs and industrial-innovation centres.

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Cyber security underpins everything. As government, business and infrastructure become digital, the risks increase. Serbia must invest in national cyber-defence capabilities, strengthen incident-response teams, modernise regulatory frameworks and train thousands of cyber professionals. Without cyber resilience, no digital progress is sustainable.

Digital transformation is also cultural. Citizens must trust digital systems, understand digital rights, and use digital tools confidently. Schools must teach digital literacy from an early age. Universities must expand programs in data science, AI, cyber security, robotics and digital humanities. The public sector must embrace a new mindset built on efficiency, service orientation and accountability.

If Serbia embraces digital transformation fully, the benefits will be transformative. Citizens will spend less time in institutions. Companies will operate more efficiently. Investors will see Serbia as a predictable and modern business environment. Public corruption will decline as digital platforms reduce discretionary decision-making. Health outcomes will improve through digital diagnostics. Education will become personalised and global. Productivity across the economy will rise.

But if digitalisation remains uneven — advanced in IT services, limited in the public sector, fragmented in industry — Serbia risks creating a digital elite surrounded by a slow, paper-based system that frustrates citizens, deters investors and widens inequality.

By 2035, digital transformation will no longer be optional; it will be the defining feature of modern states and competitive economies. Serbia has the talent, the creative energy and the technological foundations to lead this transformation in the Western Balkans. What it now needs is discipline, vision and institutional willingness to reinvent how the country operates.

Digital Serbia is not a slogan — it is a strategic imperative. The next decade will reveal whether Serbia harnesses digital power to reshape the state and economy, or whether it remains trapped between potential and reality. The opportunity is enormous, but so is the responsibility.

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