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Thursday, January 15, 2026
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Industrial policy debate shifts from job creation to productivity and resilience

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Serbia’s industrial policy discourse is undergoing a subtle but important shift. Where job creation once dominated policy narratives, attention is increasingly turning toward productivity, resilience, and long-term competitiveness. This change reflects both economic reality and the limits of earlier approaches.

Modern manufacturing creates fewer jobs than legacy industrial models. Automation, digitalisation, and lean production are not optional; they are prerequisites for survival. Policies focused solely on employment numbers risk misaligning incentives and underestimating structural change.Productivity now occupies centre stage. Output per worker, energy efficiency, and value added are increasingly recognised as better indicators of industrial success. This aligns Serbia’s policy debate more closely with EU frameworks and investor expectations.

Resilience adds another dimension. Energy volatility, supply-chain disruption, and financing uncertainty have highlighted the fragility of cost-driven industrial models. Policy discussions increasingly emphasise system reliability, skills depth, and institutional predictability.

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This does not render employment irrelevant, but it reframes it. Sustainable jobs are those embedded in productive, adaptable firms rather than subsidy-dependent operations.The challenge lies in implementation. Shifting policy focus requires changes in incentive structures, education alignment, and evaluation metrics. It also demands political willingness to prioritise quality over quantity.

If successful, this transition could strengthen Serbia’s industrial base. If not, policy risks lagging behind industrial reality. The debate itself is a signal that adjustment has begun.

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