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Friday, January 16, 2026
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Serbia’s agriculture under stress: Drought, fertilizer costs and falling corn exports reshape 2026 outlook

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Serbia’s agricultural sector, historically one of the country’s most important export engines, is entering 2026 under the weight of severe climate stress, rising production costs and declining export volumes. A combination of last year’s drought, disrupted input markets and global commodity shifts has left farmers and agribusinesses struggling to maintain profitability. Corn exports — once a stable and dominant component of Serbia’s agricultural trade — have fallen sharply, signaling deeper structural pressures.

The 2025 drought hit grain producers especially hard. Lower yields resulted not only from extreme heat but from soil degradation and insufficient irrigation infrastructure. Despite years of discussion, Serbia still lacks large-scale irrigation systems that could mitigate climate volatility. As water shortages intensified, the quality of corn and wheat suffered, diminishing export competitiveness and reducing farmgate prices.

At the same time, fertilizer costs remain elevated, even after modest declines from their post-pandemic highs. Serbia relies heavily on imports for nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers, and global price movements directly influence domestic production costs. For many farmers, the combination of reduced yields and higher inputs has compressed margins to unsustainable levels. Some have already reduced spring sowing plans for 2026, raising concerns about future supply.

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Exporters describe a shifting global landscape. Major buyers have diversified suppliers. Regional competitors — particularly Hungary, Romania and Ukraine — offer aggressive pricing, benefiting from logistics advantages or state-supported export schemes. As a result, Serbia’s once secure position among regional grain exporters is eroding. Local reports reflected in serbia-business.eu warn that declining corn volumes could weaken Serbia’s trade balance, particularly in years when drought cycles repeat.

The domestic livestock sector, which depends heavily on corn as feed, also feels the pressure. Higher feed costs reduce profitability for meat and dairy producers, pushing some small farms out of business. Downstream industries — including food processors and beverage manufacturers — face rising costs that eventually spill over to consumers.

Structural issues compound the crisis. Serbia’s agricultural sector remains fragmented, with many small farmers lacking access to modern equipment, mechanization, storage and financial instruments. Investment in irrigation, precision agriculture and climate-resilient practices remains insufficient. Subsidy programs help but do not address long-term productivity gaps. Climate change is no longer an episodic threat; it is a permanent condition shaping agricultural outcomes.

The Ministry of Agriculture has announced new measures aimed at supporting farmers, including increased subsidies for irrigation equipment, improved access to credit and incentives for crop diversification. But the scale of the crisis suggests that incremental policies may not be enough. Serbia must rethink its agricultural strategy, focusing on resilience, technology adoption and value-added processing. The country cannot rely on raw commodity exports alone if climate volatility intensifies.

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The coming year will test the adaptability of Serbia’s agricultural sector. Without bold investment and structural reform, the industry risks further decline. But with strategic action — particularly in irrigation, storage and processing — Serbia can rebuild its competitiveness and stabilize its position in regional and global markets.

ARTICLE 15 — Rising Demand for IT Talent: Outsourcing Firms Expand into Niš and Čačak

Serbia’s IT sector, one of the country’s strongest engines of export growth, is entering a new phase of geographic expansion. Outsourcing companies, which historically concentrated in Belgrade and Novi Sad, are now opening development centers in Niš, Čačak, Kragujevac and other regional hubs. This shift reflects both rising demand for specialized talent and growing constraints in the capital’s labor market, where saturation and salary inflation have pushed companies to seek new pools of engineers.

Niš has become one of the most compelling destinations for IT expansion. With its strong university base, established electronics tradition and lower operational costs, the city attracts both domestic tech firms and foreign outsourcing providers. Over the past two years, multiple companies have opened new offices or expanded their teams, citing the availability of mid-level developers, embedded-systems engineers and specialized hardware talent. Niš’s local ecosystem — supported by startup accelerators, engineering programs and private training centers — continues to evolve, positioning the city as the country’s fastest-growing regional tech hub.

Čačak follows a different trajectory but with similarly promising results. Once known primarily for manufacturing and mechanical engineering, the city has seen an influx of IT companies seeking smaller but highly skilled teams. The local Faculty of Technical Sciences produces graduates well-suited for applied engineering roles, automation, robotics and industrial software. Outsourcing firms increasingly view Čačak as an ideal base for niche operations that blend IT with industrial technology — a growing trend in global outsourcing markets.

Rising demand for IT professionals is driven by Serbia’s unique position in the regional technology landscape. Export revenues from IT services surpassed €3 billion, making the sector one of the largest contributors to national GDP growth. Companies highlight Serbia’s multilingual workforce, competitive costs and strong engineering education as drivers of continued expansion. Analysts referencing serbia-business.eu note that Serbia has become a nearshoring destination between Central Europe and Southeastern Europe, attracting investors seeking stability in turbulent global markets.

However, the growth brings challenges. Talent shortages persist, especially in senior positions. Competition among employers continues to drive up salaries, eroding cost advantages. Retention remains a key concern as global companies recruit aggressively from the region. Smaller firms in Niš and Čačak must compete not only with Belgrade-based firms but with remote-employment models offering salaries denominated in euros or dollars.

Infrastructure constraints also limit growth potential. While Niš benefits from improved transport connections and ongoing digital infrastructure upgrades, Čačak must accelerate office-space development and enhance broadband capacity to support larger tech operations. Both cities require stronger collaboration between universities and industry to align curricula with evolving market needs.

Despite these hurdles, the trend is unmistakable: Serbia’s tech expansion is decentralizing. Companies understand that long-term sustainability requires tapping into new talent pools, reducing pressure on Belgrade’s saturated labor market and embedding IT activity more evenly across the country. For regional cities, the IT boom represents not just job creation but a pathway to modern economic identity.

If supported by strategic investment, educational reform and local-government engagement, Niš and Čačak could become pillars of Serbia’s broader technological transformation — an outcome that would strengthen the country’s position as a regional digital powerhouse.

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