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Serbia’s progress in AI readiness: Implications for economic structure and growth

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Serbia’s emerging position as a relative leader in artificial intelligence (AI) readiness among global economies — ranked within the top 20% globally — signals a noteworthy shift in the country’s economic structure and future growth potential. This leap in technological preparedness stems from improvements in digital infrastructure, institutional frameworks supportive of innovation, and human capital development oriented toward data science and AI integration in business operations.

The index measurement reflects multiple dimensions of AI readiness, including digital connectivity, innovation ecosystems, regulatory environments, and uptake of AI applications across the public and private sectors. Serbia’s solid performance on this multidimensional assessment suggests that the foundations for AI-driven economic transformation are taking shape, an important consideration in the context of broader structural economic challenges.

One of the most immediate implications of higher AI readiness is its potential impact on productivity and competitiveness. Historically, Serbia’s labor productivity has lagged behind Western European peers, attributable in part to lower capital intensity and limited integration of advanced technologies in manufacturing and services. Stronger AI adoption could act as a catalyst for productivity improvements, particularly in sectors such as financial services, logistics, e-commerce, and information technology services. For example, AI-enabled process automation can reduce operational costs and error rates, while advanced analytics can enhance decision-making in supply chain management and customer engagement.

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From a workforce perspective, enhanced AI capacity could reshape labor market dynamics by elevating the demand for specialized skills. This transition will require deliberate investment in education and training programs to upskill workers in machine learning, data analysis, and software development. Serbia’s universities and private sector training providers have already started tailoring curricula to these needs, but scaling these efforts will be critical to ensure that growth in AI readiness translates into broad-based economic benefits rather than skill-based disparities.

For foreign direct investment (FDI), Serbia’s AI progress may improve its attractiveness as a regional hub for technology and innovation. Multinational firms increasingly seek locales with strong digital capabilities and talent pools that can support advanced research and development. As Serbia climbs global rankings, it may capture new waves of investment in areas such as fintech, robotics, and smart manufacturing solutions.

At the macro level, integrating AI into economic policy frameworks can support public sector efficiency and service delivery. Government agencies that leverage AI for analytics, regulatory compliance, and public service optimization can reduce administrative costs and enhance transparency. Moreover, AI can contribute to better regulatory oversight in sensitive sectors such as banking and healthcare, improving risk management and resource allocation.

However, the promise of AI readiness does not come without challenges. Scaling AI adoption requires significant capital investment, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that form the backbone of Serbia’s economy. While large firms may have the resources to adopt advanced systems, SMEs may struggle without targeted policy support, incentives, and access to financing. Addressing this divide is essential to prevent a two-speed economy where only larger players benefit from technological advances.

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Additionally, ethical and regulatory considerations around data privacy, algorithmic transparency, and cybersecurity must be tackled proactively. Strong governance frameworks will be necessary to balance innovation with protection of individual rights and national security.

In projection scenarios, if Serbia continues to strengthen its AI ecosystem and integrates these technologies meaningfully into key industries, it could boost overall productivity growth by a measurable margin over the next decade. For instance, conservative estimates suggest that AI adoption across strategic sectors could lift annual productivity growth by 0.5–1.0 percentage points, a significant contribution in an economy with baseline GDP growth of around 3–4%. Such gains would compound over time, enhancing competitiveness and real incomes.

In conclusion, Serbia’s rise in AI readiness marks an important structural opportunity for the economy. If harnessed through supportive policy frameworks, human capital investment, and inclusive adoption strategies, this momentum could translate into tangible productivity gains, diversified economic activity, and stronger integration into global innovation networks.

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